KHL Predictor
| Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Score Prediction | Confidence | Betting predictions Team 1 Win | Betting predictions Draw | Betting predictions Team 2 Win | Final Score | |||
20th Dec 2024, 09:00 ET | Salavat Ufa 2.991 | Metallurg Magnitogorsk 2.280 | 2:3 (0:0, 1:2, 1:1) |  81.1% | 39.05% | 18.5% | 42.45% | 2:4 | |||
20th Dec 2024, 11:00 ET | Yekaterinburg 4.340 | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 1.790 | 1:3 (1:1, 0:1, 0:1) |  66.2% | 34.7% | 23.8% | 41.5% | 3:1 | |||
20th Dec 2024, 11:30 ET | Din. Minsk | Bars Kazan | Unlock | Unlock Prediction | |||||||
20th Dec 2024, 11:30 ET | Sochi 5.450 | Cherepovets 1.510 | 1:3 (0:1, 0:2, 1:0) |  59.8% | 37.15% | 18.9% | 43.95% | 1:2 | |||
Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor and Kelly Criterion:
The Kelly Criterion is a bet-sizing technique which balances both risk and reward for the advantage gambler. It determines the optimal % of your total capital (ie bankroll) that you can bet on a single outcome or game. Here is the formula for the Kelly Criterion copied from Wikipedia:
Where:
- f* is the fraction of the current bankroll to wager;
- b is the net odds received on the wager (“b to 1”); that is, you could win $b (plus the $1 wagered) for a $1 bet
- p is the probability of winning;
- q is the probability of losing, which is 1 − p.
As an example, if a gamble has a 60% chance of winning (p = 0.60, q = 0.40), and the gambler receives 1-to-1 odds on a winning bet (b = 1), then the gambler should bet 20% of his bankroll at each opportunity (f* = 0.20), in order to maximize the long-run growth rate of the bankroll.
If the gambler has zero edge, i.e. if b = q / p, then the criterion recommends the gambler bets nothing.
If the edge is negative (b < q / p) the formula gives a negative result, indicating that the gambler should take the other side of the bet.
| Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Optimal Stake Part | Bet On | Final Score |
20th Dec 2024, 11:30 ET | Sochi 5.450 | Cherepovets 1.510 | 0.23 | Sochi ML | 1:2 |