Baseball Predictor & Point Spreads
BASEBALL Predictor
| Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Score Prediction First Inning | Score Prediction Final Score | Confidence | Betting predictions Team 1 Win | Betting predictions Team 2 Win | First Inning Result | Final Score | |||
| Japan NPB | ||||||||||||
12th Oct 2024, 01:00 EDT | Chiba Lotte Marines 1.843 | Nippon Ham Fighters 1.981 | 0:1 | 4:1 |  45.8% | 81.25% | 18.75% | 0:0 | 2:0 | |||
12th Oct 2024, 01:00 EDT | Yokohama Baystars 2.251 | Hanshin Tigers 1.658 | 1:0 | 5:3 |  71.6% | 78.26% | 21.74% | 0:0 | 3:1 | |||
| Taiwan CPBL | ||||||||||||
12th Oct 2024, 05:05 EDT | Rakuten Monkeys | Uni Lions | Unlock | Unlock Prediction | ||||||||
Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor:
| Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Score Prediction | Total | Bookmaker Total | Final Score | Value Bet |
Japan NPB 12th Oct 2024, 01:00 EDT | Chiba Lotte Marines 1.843 | Nippon Ham Fighters 1.981 | 4:1 | 5 | 5.50 | 2:0 | Bet under 5.50 |
Japan NPB 12th Oct 2024, 01:00 EDT | Yokohama Baystars 2.251 | Hanshin Tigers 1.658 | 5:3 | 8 | 4.50 | 3:1 | Bet over 4.50 |
Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor and Kelly Criterion:
The Kelly Criterion is a bet-sizing technique which balances both risk and reward for the advantage gambler. It determines the optimal % of your total capital (ie bankroll) that you can bet on a single outcome or game. Here is the formula for the Kelly Criterion copied from Wikipedia:
Where:
- f* is the fraction of the current bankroll to wager;
- b is the net odds received on the wager (“b to 1”); that is, you could win $b (plus the $1 wagered) for a $1 bet
- p is the probability of winning;
- q is the probability of losing, which is 1 − p.
As an example, if a gamble has a 60% chance of winning (p = 0.60, q = 0.40), and the gambler receives 1-to-1 odds on a winning bet (b = 1), then the gambler should bet 20% of his bankroll at each opportunity (f* = 0.20), in order to maximize the long-run growth rate of the bankroll.
If the gambler has zero edge, i.e. if b = q / p, then the criterion recommends the gambler bets nothing.
If the edge is negative (b < q / p) the formula gives a negative result, indicating that the gambler should take the other side of the bet.
| Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Optimal Stake Part | Bet On | Final Score |
Japan NPB 12th Oct 2024, 01:00 EDT | Chiba Lotte Marines 1.843 | Nippon Ham Fighters 1.981 | 0.59 | Chiba Lotte Marines ML | 2:0 |
Japan NPB 12th Oct 2024, 01:00 EDT | Yokohama Baystars 2.251 | Hanshin Tigers 1.658 | 0.61 | Yokohama Baystars ML | 3:1 |