Hockey Predictor

HOCKEY Predictor

DateTeam 1Team 2Score PredictionConfidenceBetting predictions Team 1 WinBetting predictions DrawBetting predictions Team 2 WinFinal Score
USA USA AHL

18th May 2024,

13:00 EDT

Syracuse Crunch
2.520
Cleveland Monsters
2.280
1:4
(1:2, 0:1, 0:1)
79%
36.05%17.7%46.25%

18th May 2024,

19:00 EDT

Hartford Wolf Pack
3.090
Hershey Bears
1.980
2:3
(1:1, 1:0, 0:2)
67.8%
38.95%18.7%42.35%

Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor:

DateTeam 1Team 2Score PredictionTotalBookmaker TotalFinal ScoreValue Bet
USA USA AHL

18th May 2024,

13:00 EDT

Syracuse Crunch
2.520
Cleveland Monsters
2.280
1:4
55.50Bet under 5.50
USA USA AHL

18th May 2024,

19:00 EDT

Hartford Wolf Pack
3.090
Hershey Bears
1.980
2:3
55.50Bet under 5.50

Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor and Kelly Criterion:

What is Kelly Criterion?

The Kelly Criterion is a bet-sizing technique which balances both risk and reward for the advantage gambler. It determines the optimal % of your total capital (ie bankroll) that you can bet on a single outcome or game. Here is the formula for the Kelly Criterion copied from Wikipedia:

Where:

  • f* is the fraction of the current bankroll to wager;
  • b is the net odds received on the wager (“b to 1”); that is, you could win $b (plus the $1 wagered) for a $1 bet
  • p is the probability of winning;
  • q is the probability of losing, which is 1 − p.

As an example, if a gamble has a 60% chance of winning (p = 0.60, q = 0.40), and the gambler receives 1-to-1 odds on a winning bet (b = 1), then the gambler should bet 20% of his bankroll at each opportunity (f* = 0.20), in order to maximize the long-run growth rate of the bankroll.

If the gambler has zero edge, i.e. if b = q / p, then the criterion recommends the gambler bets nothing.

If the edge is negative (b < q / p) the formula gives a negative result, indicating that the gambler should take the other side of the bet.

DateTeam 1Team 2Optimal Stake PartBet OnFinal Score
USA USA AHL

18th May 2024,

19:00 EDT

Hartford Wolf Pack
3.090
Hershey Bears
1.980
0.1
Hartford Wolf Pack ML