KHL Predictor
| Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Score Prediction | Confidence | Betting predictions Team 1 Win | Betting predictions Draw | Betting predictions Team 2 Win | Final Score | |||
17th Oct 2024, 05:00 EDT | Cherepovets 2.450 | Amur Khabarovsk 2.550 | 1:3 (1:2, 0:1, 0:0) |  39.6% | 34.9% | 23.4% | 41.7% | 2:1 | |||
17th Oct 2024, 05:30 EDT | Lada 2.987 | Vladivostok 2.170 | 2:3 (0:1, 1:2, 1:0) |  54.1% | 39.3% | 18% | 42.7% | 6:1 | |||
17th Oct 2024, 09:30 EDT | Sp. Moscow | Avangard Omsk | Unlock | Unlock Prediction | |||||||
17th Oct 2024, 12:00 EDT | Niznekamsk 3.860 | Nizhny Novgorod 1.870 | 0:5 (0:3, 0:1, 0:1) | 54.4% | 33% | 17% | 50% | 4:5 OT | |||
17th Oct 2024, 12:00 EDT | Yekaterinburg 2.170 | Podolsk 3.090 | 1:2 (0:1, 1:0, 0:1) |  21.6% | 36.75% | 23.1% | 40.15% | 3:1 | |||
17th Oct 2024, 12:10 EDT | Metallurg Magnitogorsk | Din. Minsk | Unlock | Unlock Prediction | |||||||
17th Oct 2024, 12:30 EDT | CSKA Moscow 3.285 | SKA St. Petersburg 2.070 | 1:6 (1:0, 0:3, 0:3) | 51.5% | 31.2% | 20.6% | 48.2% | 4:5 OT | |||
Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor and Kelly Criterion:
The Kelly Criterion is a bet-sizing technique which balances both risk and reward for the advantage gambler. It determines the optimal % of your total capital (ie bankroll) that you can bet on a single outcome or game. Here is the formula for the Kelly Criterion copied from Wikipedia:
Where:
- f* is the fraction of the current bankroll to wager;
- b is the net odds received on the wager (“b to 1”); that is, you could win $b (plus the $1 wagered) for a $1 bet
- p is the probability of winning;
- q is the probability of losing, which is 1 − p.
As an example, if a gamble has a 60% chance of winning (p = 0.60, q = 0.40), and the gambler receives 1-to-1 odds on a winning bet (b = 1), then the gambler should bet 20% of his bankroll at each opportunity (f* = 0.20), in order to maximize the long-run growth rate of the bankroll.
If the gambler has zero edge, i.e. if b = q / p, then the criterion recommends the gambler bets nothing.
If the edge is negative (b < q / p) the formula gives a negative result, indicating that the gambler should take the other side of the bet.
| Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Optimal Stake Part | Bet On | Final Score |
17th Oct 2024, 12:00 EDT | Yekaterinburg 2.170 | Podolsk 3.090 | 0.12 | Podolsk ML | 3:1 |