Rugby Predictor Season 2023 – 2024

RUGBY Predictor

DateTeam 1Team 2Score PredictionConfidenceBetting predictions Team 1 WinBetting predictions DrawBetting predictions Team 2 WinFinal Score
Australia NRL

18th Jul 2025,

04:00 EDT

Sydney Roosters
2.040
Cronulla Sharks
1.835
8:30
62.3%
23%10%67%
18:31

18th Jul 2025,

06:00 EDT

South Sydney Rabbitohs
4.530
Penrith Panthers
1.230
5:48
69.6%
2.5%9%88.5%
10:30
England Super League

18th Jul 2025,

15:00 EDT

Salford Red Devils
Leeds Rhinos
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18th Jul 2025,

15:00 EDT

Wakefield
Huddersfield
42:21
65.4%
67.4%7.2%25.4%
46:10

Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor:

DateTeam 1Team 2Score PredictionTotalBookmaker TotalFinal ScoreValue Bet
Australia NRL

18th Jul 2025,

04:00 EDT

Sydney Roosters
2.040
Cronulla Sharks
1.835
8:30
3847.50
18:31
Bet under 47.50
Australia NRL

18th Jul 2025,

06:00 EDT

South Sydney Rabbitohs
4.530
Penrith Panthers
1.230
5:48
5345.50
10:30
Bet over 45.50

Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor and Kelly Criterion:

What is Kelly Criterion?

The Kelly Criterion is a bet-sizing technique which balances both risk and reward for the advantage gambler. It determines the optimal % of your total capital (ie bankroll) that you can bet on a single outcome or game. Here is the formula for the Kelly Criterion copied from Wikipedia:

Where:

  • f* is the fraction of the current bankroll to wager;
  • b is the net odds received on the wager (“b to 1”); that is, you could win $b (plus the $1 wagered) for a $1 bet
  • p is the probability of winning;
  • q is the probability of losing, which is 1 − p.

As an example, if a gamble has a 60% chance of winning (p = 0.60, q = 0.40), and the gambler receives 1-to-1 odds on a winning bet (b = 1), then the gambler should bet 20% of his bankroll at each opportunity (f* = 0.20), in order to maximize the long-run growth rate of the bankroll.

If the gambler has zero edge, i.e. if b = q / p, then the criterion recommends the gambler bets nothing.

If the edge is negative (b < q / p) the formula gives a negative result, indicating that the gambler should take the other side of the bet.

DateTeam 1Team 2Optimal Stake PartBet OnFinal Score
Australia NRL

18th Jul 2025,

04:00 EDT

Sydney Roosters
2.040
Cronulla Sharks
1.835
0.27
Cronulla Sharks ML
18:31
Australia NRL

18th Jul 2025,

06:00 EDT

South Sydney Rabbitohs
4.530
Penrith Panthers
1.230
0.39
Penrith Panthers ML
10:30