AHL Predictor
HOCKEY Predictor
Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Score Prediction | Confidence | Betting predictions Team 1 Win | Betting predictions Draw | Betting predictions Team 2 Win | Final Score | |||
Belarus Extraleague | |||||||||||
18th Nov 2024, 11:00 ET | Baranavichy 5.750 | Lokomotiv Orsha 1.330 | Coming soon | 1:2 | |||||||
18th Nov 2024, 11:00 ET | Mogilev 3.400 | Slavutych 1.780 | Coming soon | 1:3 | |||||||
18th Nov 2024, 11:25 ET | Molodechno | Neman Grodno | Unlock | Unlock Prediction | |||||||
Russia MHL | |||||||||||
18th Nov 2024, 07:00 ET | Stalnye Lisy 2.861 | Tolpar 2.050 | 3:2 (0:0, 1:2, 2:0) | 50.9% | 41.75% | 19.9% | 38.35% | 5:6 | |||
18th Nov 2024, 08:00 ET | Avto 2.796 | Ladya 2.210 | 2:3 (0:0, 1:1, 1:2) | 66.7% | 39.55% | 17.5% | 42.95% | 1:2 | |||
Russia VHL | |||||||||||
18th Nov 2024, 09:00 ET | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | Perm | Unlock | Unlock Prediction | |||||||
18th Nov 2024, 10:30 ET | CSK VVS | Torpedo Gorky | 1:3 (0:0, 1:1, 0:2) | 46.1% | 37.15% | 18.9% | 43.95% | ||||
18th Nov 2024, 11:00 ET | Dizel | Ryazan | 2:3 OT (1:2, 1:0, 0:0, 0:1) | 70.2% | 31.25% | 34.1% | 34.65% | ||||
18th Nov 2024, 11:00 ET | Saratov | AKM | Unlock | ||||||||
Sweden Allsvenskan | |||||||||||
18th Nov 2024, 13:00 ET | Almtuna 4.120 | Kalmar 1.640 | 3:2 (0:0, 2:0, 1:2) | 49% | 42.6% | 18.2% | 39.2% | 2:4 | |||
Sweden SHL | |||||||||||
18th Nov 2024, 13:00 ET | HV 71 4.425 | Lulea 1.610 | 1:4 (1:0, 0:1, 0:3) | 43.8% | 34.95% | 19.9% | 45.15% | 2:6 |
Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor:
Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Score Prediction | Money line1 | Money line2 | Final Score | Value Bet |
Sweden Allsvenskan 18th Nov 2024, 13:00 ET | Almtuna 4.120 | Kalmar 1.640 | 3:2 | 4.120 | 1.640 | 2:4 | Take Almtuna +2.5 |
Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Score Prediction | Total | Bookmaker Total | Final Score | Value Bet |
Russia MHL 18th Nov 2024, 07:00 ET | Stalnye Lisy 2.861 | Tolpar 2.050 | 3:2 | 5 | 5.50 | 5:6 | Bet under 5.50 |
Russia MHL 18th Nov 2024, 08:00 ET | Avto 2.796 | Ladya 2.210 | 2:3 | 5 | 4.50 | 1:2 | Bet over 4.50 |
Sweden Allsvenskan 18th Nov 2024, 13:00 ET | Almtuna 4.120 | Kalmar 1.640 | 3:2 | 5 | 5.50 | 2:4 | Bet under 5.50 |
Sweden SHL 18th Nov 2024, 13:00 ET | HV 71 4.425 | Lulea 1.610 | 1:4 | 5 | 5.50 | 2:6 | Bet under 5.50 |
Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor and Kelly Criterion:
The Kelly Criterion is a bet-sizing technique which balances both risk and reward for the advantage gambler. It determines the optimal % of your total capital (ie bankroll) that you can bet on a single outcome or game. Here is the formula for the Kelly Criterion copied from Wikipedia:
Where:
- f* is the fraction of the current bankroll to wager;
- b is the net odds received on the wager (“b to 1”); that is, you could win $b (plus the $1 wagered) for a $1 bet
- p is the probability of winning;
- q is the probability of losing, which is 1 − p.
As an example, if a gamble has a 60% chance of winning (p = 0.60, q = 0.40), and the gambler receives 1-to-1 odds on a winning bet (b = 1), then the gambler should bet 20% of his bankroll at each opportunity (f* = 0.20), in order to maximize the long-run growth rate of the bankroll.
If the gambler has zero edge, i.e. if b = q / p, then the criterion recommends the gambler bets nothing.
If the edge is negative (b < q / p) the formula gives a negative result, indicating that the gambler should take the other side of the bet.
Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Optimal Stake Part | Bet On | Final Score |
Russia MHL 18th Nov 2024, 07:00 ET | Stalnye Lisy 2.861 | Tolpar 2.050 | 0.1 | Stalnye Lisy ML | 5:6 |