College Basketball Predictor: NCAAB Lines and Spreads
NCAAB Predictor
| Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Score Prediction | Confidence | Betting predictions Team 1 Win | Betting predictions Team 2 Win | Final Score |
21st Dec 2024, 12:00 ET | Chattanooga 8.000 | Indiana 1.091 | 72:80 |  71.6% | 42% | 58% | |
21st Dec 2024, 12:00 ET | Connecticut 1.232 | Butler 4.440 | 72:69 |  57.9% | 53% | 47% | |
21st Dec 2024, 12:00 ET | Duke | Georgia Tech | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 12:00 ET | Marquette 1.465 | Xavier 2.788 | 74:80 |  83.7% | 44% | 56% | |
21st Dec 2024, 12:00 ET | North Florida | Florida | 65:93 |  86.3% | 22% | 78% | |
21st Dec 2024, 12:00 ET | Penn St. | Drexel | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 12:00 ET | Princeton 3.170 | Rutgers 1.380 | 82:75 |  53.5% | 57% | 43% | |
21st Dec 2024, 12:00 ET | South Carolina State 3.865 | Northern Kentucky 1.280 | 73:87 | 83.7% | 36% | 64% | |
21st Dec 2024, 12:00 ET | Southern Methodist | Boston College | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 12:00 ET | Saint Joseph's 1.626 | Virginia Tech 2.375 | 69:77 | 71.3% | 42% | 58% | |
21st Dec 2024, 12:00 ET | Syracuse 8.500 | Maryland 1.083 | 65:97 | 88.1% | 18% | 82% | |
21st Dec 2024, 12:00 ET | Vermont | Dartmouth | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 12:30 ET | Mississippi St. 1.833 | Memphis 2.000 | 63:94 |  61.3% | 19% | 81% | |
21st Dec 2024, 13:00 ET | Fairfield 2.517 | Monmouth-NJ 1.561 | 72:93 | 73.9% | 29% | 71% | |
21st Dec 2024, 13:00 ET | Hampton | Loyola-Maryland | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 13:00 ET | Lamar | Texas Tech | 70:92 |  69.8% | 28% | 72% | |
21st Dec 2024, 13:00 ET | Lehigh 1.465 | LIU Brooklyn 2.788 | 78:64 OT |  77.8% | 64% | 36% | |
21st Dec 2024, 13:00 ET | MD Baltimore Cty | Marist | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 13:00 ET | Maine 1.626 | Stony Brook 2.375 | 69:90 | 82.6% | 29% | 71% | |
21st Dec 2024, 13:00 ET | Manhattan 2.328 | Presbyterian 1.645 | 66:98 | 63% | 18% | 82% | |
21st Dec 2024, 13:00 ET | Navy | Coppin St. | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 13:00 ET | Niagara | St. Bonaventure | 65:90 | 77.2% | 25% | 75% | |
21st Dec 2024, 13:00 ET | Quinnipiac 2.184 | Central Conn. St. 1.734 | 66:94 | 64.3% | 22% | 78% | |
21st Dec 2024, 13:00 ET | Sam Houston St. | Pittsburgh | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 13:00 ET | St. Francis (PA) 3.565 | Robert Morris 1.322 | 58:90 | 69.8% | 18% | 82% | |
21st Dec 2024, 13:00 ET | Univ. of Health Sci and Pharm | Indiana St. | Coming soon | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 13:00 ET | Youngstown St. | South Carolina Upstate | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | Albany 3.325 | Fordham 1.355 | 67:94 | 75.7% | 23% | 77% | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | Boston U 3.760 | Massachusetts Lowell 1.288 | 71:86 | 55.2% | 35% | 65% | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | Canisius | Bradley | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | Chicago St. | CSU Northridge | 63:81 | 74.6% | 32% | 68% | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | East Tennessee St. 1.761 | Kansas City 2.137 | 78:62 | 83.9% | 66% | 34% | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | Evansville | Ball St. | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | Fairleigh Dickinson 10.000 | Minnesota 1.062 | 67:82 | 83.5% | 35% | 65% | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | Florida Atlantic 8.500 | Michigan St 1.083 | 73:93 |  40.2% | 30% | 70% | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | Georgia St | Troy | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | High Point 1.626 | Southern Illinois 2.375 | 80:76 | 63.8% | 54% | 46% | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | Jacksonville St. 1.870 | Eastern Kentucky 1.952 | 65:96 | 65.8% | 19% | 81% | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | James Madison | South Alabama | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | Louisville 1.909 | Florida St. 1.909 | 72:85 | 65.2% | 37% | 63% | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | Mercer 3.965 | Winthrop 1.273 | 71:87 | 75% | 34% | 66% | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | Mount St. Mary's | Miami-Florida | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | N.C. Asheville 3.565 | NC-Wilmington 1.322 | 62:78 | 67.6% | 34% | 66% | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | St. Thomas (MN) 1.645 | Bowling Green 2.328 | 67:78 | 78.1% | 39% | 61% | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | Texas A&M CC | Houston | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | Texas-Arlington 4.665 | Liberty 1.210 | 67:101 | 81.9% | 16% | 84% | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | Wake Forest 4.665 | Clemson 1.210 | 65:87 | 73% | 28% | 72% | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | Wright St. | Eastern Michigan | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 14:30 ET | No.Carolina A&T | Arkansas | 64:92 |  90.1% | 22% | 78% | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:30 ET | Southern-New Orleans | Wagner | 59:87 | 65.9% | 22% | 78% | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:30 ET | UC Irvine | Duquesne | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 15:00 ET | Austin Peay | Vanderbilt | 64:87 | 56.6% | 27% | 73% | |
21st Dec 2024, 15:00 ET | Bellarmine | Colorado | 52:88 | 79.1% | 14% | 86% | |
21st Dec 2024, 15:00 ET | Coastal Carolina | Arkansas St. | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 15:00 ET | College of Biblical Studies | Texas Rio Grande Valley | Coming soon | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 15:00 ET | Furman 1.734 | Harvard 2.184 | 67:88 | 65.6% | 29% | 71% | |
21st Dec 2024, 15:00 ET | Gardner-Webb | East Carolina | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 15:00 ET | Kentucky Wesleyan | Western Kentucky | Coming soon | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 15:00 ET | Marshall 1.608 | Southern Miss 2.422 | 84:68 | 91.8% | 66% | 34% | |
21st Dec 2024, 15:00 ET | Mississippi Valley State | Tulsa | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 15:00 ET | Old Dominion 1.870 | Louisiana-Monroe 1.952 | 82:66 OT | 68.3% | 66% | 34% | |
21st Dec 2024, 15:00 ET | Texas A&M Commerce 8.000 | South Florida 1.091 | 63:84 | 59.3% | 29% | 71% | |
21st Dec 2024, 15:00 ET | UC Davis | Pepperdine | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 15:00 ET | UC Riverside 4.440 | UNLV 1.232 | 75:81 | 70.5% | 44% | 56% | |
21st Dec 2024, 15:00 ET | UCLA 1.769 | North Carolina 2.100 | 68:80 | 67.1% | 38% | 62% | |
21st Dec 2024, 15:30 ET | Air Force | Boise St. | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 15:30 ET | Georgia Southern 3.365 | Texas State 1.343 | 58:93 | 67.9% | 15% | 85% | |
21st Dec 2024, 15:30 ET | Tennessee St. 2.422 | Morehead St. 1.608 | 65:88 | 75.3% | 27% | 73% | |
21st Dec 2024, 16:00 ET | Arizona St. | Massachusetts | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 16:00 ET | Central Michigan | Arizona | 68:91 | 60.4% | 27% | 73% | |
21st Dec 2024, 16:00 ET | DePaul 3.565 | Northwestern 1.322 | 55:94 | 68% | 11% | 89% | |
21st Dec 2024, 16:00 ET | Eastern Illinois | Arkansas-Little Rock | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 16:00 ET | Idaho 2.642 | Pacific 1.510 | 91:73 | 83.9% | 68% | 32% | |
21st Dec 2024, 16:00 ET | Lafayette 2.470 | Portland 1.576 | 90:73 | 69% | 67% | 33% | |
21st Dec 2024, 16:00 ET | Northern Arizona | Southern Utah | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 16:00 ET | Northern Iowa 2.375 | Washington St. 1.626 | 73:87 | 55.4% | 36% | 64% | |
21st Dec 2024, 16:00 ET | Samford 1.050 | Alabama A&M 11.000 | 80:77 | 59.9% | 53% | 47% | |
21st Dec 2024, 16:00 ET | Texas Southern | Abilene Christian | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 16:00 ET | Villanova 2.564 | Creighton 1.546 | 69:70 | 65.4% | 49% | 51% | |
21st Dec 2024, 16:30 ET | Purdue 4.185 | Auburn 1.245 | 59:84 | 57.9% | 25% | 75% | |
21st Dec 2024, 16:30 ET | Tenn-Martin | Southern Indiana | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 16:30 ET | Western Illinois 2.224 | Lindenwood 1.687 | 72:80 | 69.5% | 42% | 58% | |
21st Dec 2024, 16:45 ET | SIU - Edwardsville 1.833 | SE Missouri St. 2.000 | 60:96 | 64.2% | 14% | 86% | |
21st Dec 2024, 17:00 ET | Bethune-Cookman | Davidson | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 17:00 ET | California Baptist 1.665 | Fresno St. 2.281 | 83:68 | 75% | 65% | 35% | |
21st Dec 2024, 17:00 ET | Colorado St. 4.185 | Nevada 1.245 | 64:85 | 69.5% | 29% | 71% | |
21st Dec 2024, 17:00 ET | Howard Payne | Tarleton State | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 17:00 ET | Lincoln (CA) | Eastern Washington | 68:93 | 61.1% | 25% | 75% | |
21st Dec 2024, 17:00 ET | Northern Colorado 1.380 | Denver 3.170 | 83:73 OT | 54.4% | 60% | 40% | |
21st Dec 2024, 17:00 ET | Queens University of Charlotte | Mississippi | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 17:00 ET | South Dakota 9.000 | Santa Clara 1.050 | 71:90 | 72.2% | 31% | 69% | |
21st Dec 2024, 17:30 ET | Ohio St. 3.565 | Kentucky 1.322 | 59:97 | 76.9% | 12% | 88% | |
21st Dec 2024, 18:00 ET | Green Bay | Drake | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 18:00 ET | Indiana - Purdue 4.140 | Florida International 1.260 | 56:90 | 76.1% | 16% | 84% | |
21st Dec 2024, 18:00 ET | Jacksonville 11.000 | Central Florida 1.050 | 64:93 | 72.2% | 21% | 79% | |
21st Dec 2024, 18:00 ET | Montana | San Francisco | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 18:00 ET | Utah 1.952 | Iowa 1.870 | 72:82 OT | 87.3% | 40% | 60% | |
21st Dec 2024, 18:00 ET | VMI 7.250 | Richmond 1.105 | 68:89 | 78.6% | 29% | 71% | |
21st Dec 2024, 18:30 ET | Temple | Rhode Island | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 19:00 ET | Akron | Jackson State | 72:86 | 88.2% | 36% | 64% | |
21st Dec 2024, 19:00 ET | Kansas St. 1.800 | Wichita St. 2.050 | 60:95 | 89.3% | 15% | 85% | |
21st Dec 2024, 19:00 ET | NC-Greensboro | Elon University | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 20:00 ET | Oregon 1.445 | Stanford 2.884 | 67:92 | 52.8% | 25% | 75% | |
21st Dec 2024, 21:00 ET | Bucknell | Gonzaga | 74:92 | 57.7% | 32% | 68% | |
21st Dec 2024, 21:00 ET | UC San Diego | San Diego | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 21:00 ET | Utah Valley 2.050 | Weber St. 1.800 | 71:95 | 62.6% | 26% | 74% | |
21st Dec 2024, 21:00 ET | Yale | Texas-El Paso | 85:76 | 76.5% | 59% | 41% | |
21st Dec 2024, 21:05 ET | Cal Poly SLO | Nebraska Omaha | Unlock | ||||
21st Dec 2024, 21:30 ET | Portland St. 2.470 | Cal. State - Bakersfield 1.576 | 78:87 | 68.3% | 41% | 59% | |
21st Dec 2024, 22:30 ET | California 2.738 | San Diego St. 1.486 | 69:81 | 60.5% | 38% | 62% | |
21st Dec 2024, 22:30 ET | Kennesaw St. | San Jose St. | Unlock |
Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor:
| Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Score Prediction | Total | Bookmaker Total | Final Score | Value Bet |
21st Dec 2024, 12:00 ET | Chattanooga 8.000 | Indiana 1.091 | 72:80 | 152 | 154.50 | Bet under 154.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 12:00 ET | Connecticut 1.232 | Butler 4.440 | 72:69 | 141 | 143.50 | Bet under 143.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 12:00 ET | Marquette 1.465 | Xavier 2.788 | 74:80 | 154 | 154.50 | Bet under 154.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 12:00 ET | Princeton 3.170 | Rutgers 1.380 | 82:75 | 157 | 151.50 | Bet over 151.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 12:00 ET | Saint Joseph's 1.626 | Virginia Tech 2.375 | 69:77 | 146 | 142.50 | Bet over 142.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 12:00 ET | South Carolina State 3.865 | Northern Kentucky 1.280 | 73:87 | 160 | 136.50 | Bet over 136.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 12:00 ET | Syracuse 8.500 | Maryland 1.083 | 65:97 | 162 | 155.50 | Bet over 155.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 12:30 ET | Mississippi St. 1.833 | Memphis 2.000 | 63:94 | 157 | 150.50 | Bet over 150.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 13:00 ET | Fairfield 2.517 | Monmouth-NJ 1.561 | 72:93 | 165 | 145.50 | Bet over 145.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 13:00 ET | Lamar | Texas Tech | 70:92 | 162 | 139.50 | Bet over 139.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 13:00 ET | Lehigh 1.465 | LIU Brooklyn 2.788 | 78:64 OT | 142 | 143.50 | Bet under 143.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 13:00 ET | Maine 1.626 | Stony Brook 2.375 | 69:90 | 159 | 137.50 | Bet over 137.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 13:00 ET | Manhattan 2.328 | Presbyterian 1.645 | 66:98 | 164 | 145.50 | Bet over 145.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 13:00 ET | Niagara | St. Bonaventure | 65:90 | 155 | 129.50 | Bet over 129.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 13:00 ET | Quinnipiac 2.184 | Central Conn. St. 1.734 | 66:94 | 160 | 137.50 | Bet over 137.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 13:00 ET | St. Francis (PA) 3.565 | Robert Morris 1.322 | 58:90 | 148 | 143.50 | Bet over 143.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | Albany 3.325 | Fordham 1.355 | 67:94 | 161 | 154.50 | Bet over 154.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | Boston U 3.760 | Massachusetts Lowell 1.288 | 71:86 | 157 | 144.50 | Bet over 144.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | Chicago St. | CSU Northridge | 63:81 | 144 | 149.50 | Bet under 149.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | East Tennessee St. 1.761 | Kansas City 2.137 | 78:62 | 140 | 141.50 | Bet under 141.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | Fairleigh Dickinson 10.000 | Minnesota 1.062 | 67:82 | 149 | 147.50 | Bet over 147.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | Florida Atlantic 8.500 | Michigan St 1.083 | 73:93 | 166 | 157.50 | Bet over 157.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | High Point 1.626 | Southern Illinois 2.375 | 80:76 | 156 | 146.50 | Bet over 146.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | Jacksonville St. 1.870 | Eastern Kentucky 1.952 | 65:96 | 161 | 145.50 | Bet over 145.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | Louisville 1.909 | Florida St. 1.909 | 72:85 | 157 | 153.50 | Bet over 153.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | Mercer 3.965 | Winthrop 1.273 | 71:87 | 158 | 159.50 | Bet under 159.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | Texas-Arlington 4.665 | Liberty 1.210 | 67:101 | 168 | 142.50 | Bet over 142.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | Wake Forest 4.665 | Clemson 1.210 | 65:87 | 152 | 133.50 | Bet over 133.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:30 ET | No.Carolina A&T | Arkansas | 64:92 | 156 | 159.50 | Bet under 159.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 15:00 ET | Austin Peay | Vanderbilt | 64:87 | 151 | 142.50 | Bet over 142.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 15:00 ET | Bellarmine | Colorado | 52:88 | 140 | 145.50 | Bet under 145.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 15:00 ET | Furman 1.734 | Harvard 2.184 | 67:88 | 155 | 138.50 | Bet over 138.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 15:00 ET | Marshall 1.608 | Southern Miss 2.422 | 84:68 | 152 | 146.50 | Bet over 146.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 15:00 ET | Old Dominion 1.870 | Louisiana-Monroe 1.952 | 82:66 OT | 148 | 143.50 | Bet over 143.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 15:00 ET | Texas A&M Commerce 8.000 | South Florida 1.091 | 63:84 | 147 | 145.00 | Bet over 145.00 | |
21st Dec 2024, 15:00 ET | UC Riverside 4.440 | UNLV 1.232 | 75:81 | 156 | 140.50 | Bet over 140.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 15:00 ET | UCLA 1.769 | North Carolina 2.100 | 68:80 | 148 | 149.50 | Bet under 149.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 15:30 ET | Georgia Southern 3.365 | Texas State 1.343 | 58:93 | 151 | 148.50 | Bet over 148.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 15:30 ET | Tennessee St. 2.422 | Morehead St. 1.608 | 65:88 | 153 | 146.50 | Bet over 146.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 16:00 ET | Central Michigan | Arizona | 68:91 | 159 | 151.50 | Bet over 151.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 16:00 ET | DePaul 3.565 | Northwestern 1.322 | 55:94 | 149 | 136.50 | Bet over 136.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 16:00 ET | Idaho 2.642 | Pacific 1.510 | 91:73 | 164 | 143.50 | Bet over 143.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 16:00 ET | Lafayette 2.470 | Portland 1.576 | 90:73 | 163 | 141.00 | Bet over 141.00 | |
21st Dec 2024, 16:00 ET | Northern Iowa 2.375 | Washington St. 1.626 | 73:87 | 160 | 148.50 | Bet over 148.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 16:00 ET | Samford 1.050 | Alabama A&M 11.000 | 80:77 | 157 | 163.50 | Bet under 163.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 16:00 ET | Villanova 2.564 | Creighton 1.546 | 69:70 | 139 | 144.50 | Bet under 144.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 16:30 ET | Purdue 4.185 | Auburn 1.245 | 59:84 | 143 | 148.50 | Bet under 148.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 16:30 ET | Western Illinois 2.224 | Lindenwood 1.687 | 72:80 | 152 | 136.50 | Bet over 136.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 16:45 ET | SIU - Edwardsville 1.833 | SE Missouri St. 2.000 | 60:96 | 156 | 140.50 | Bet over 140.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 17:00 ET | California Baptist 1.665 | Fresno St. 2.281 | 83:68 | 151 | 152.50 | Bet under 152.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 17:00 ET | Colorado St. 4.185 | Nevada 1.245 | 64:85 | 149 | 138.50 | Bet over 138.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 17:00 ET | Northern Colorado 1.380 | Denver 3.170 | 83:73 OT | 156 | 156.50 | Bet under 156.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 17:00 ET | South Dakota 9.000 | Santa Clara 1.050 | 71:90 | 161 | 167.50 | Bet under 167.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 17:30 ET | Ohio St. 3.565 | Kentucky 1.322 | 59:97 | 156 | 160.50 | Bet under 160.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 18:00 ET | Jacksonville 11.000 | Central Florida 1.050 | 64:93 | 157 | 142.50 | Bet over 142.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 18:00 ET | VMI 7.250 | Richmond 1.105 | 68:89 | 157 | 154.50 | Bet over 154.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 19:00 ET | Kansas St. 1.800 | Wichita St. 2.050 | 60:95 | 155 | 153.50 | Bet over 153.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 20:00 ET | Oregon 1.445 | Stanford 2.884 | 67:92 | 159 | 149.50 | Bet over 149.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 21:00 ET | Bucknell | Gonzaga | 74:92 | 166 | 151.50 | Bet over 151.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 21:00 ET | Utah Valley 2.050 | Weber St. 1.800 | 71:95 | 166 | 141.50 | Bet over 141.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 21:30 ET | Portland St. 2.470 | Cal. State - Bakersfield 1.576 | 78:87 | 165 | 144.50 | Bet over 144.50 | |
21st Dec 2024, 22:30 ET | California 2.738 | San Diego St. 1.486 | 69:81 | 150 | 146.50 | Bet over 146.50 |
Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor and Kelly Criterion:
The Kelly Criterion is a bet-sizing technique which balances both risk and reward for the advantage gambler. It determines the optimal % of your total capital (ie bankroll) that you can bet on a single outcome or game. Here is the formula for the Kelly Criterion copied from Wikipedia:
Where:
- f* is the fraction of the current bankroll to wager;
- b is the net odds received on the wager (“b to 1”); that is, you could win $b (plus the $1 wagered) for a $1 bet
- p is the probability of winning;
- q is the probability of losing, which is 1 − p.
As an example, if a gamble has a 60% chance of winning (p = 0.60, q = 0.40), and the gambler receives 1-to-1 odds on a winning bet (b = 1), then the gambler should bet 20% of his bankroll at each opportunity (f* = 0.20), in order to maximize the long-run growth rate of the bankroll.
If the gambler has zero edge, i.e. if b = q / p, then the criterion recommends the gambler bets nothing.
If the edge is negative (b < q / p) the formula gives a negative result, indicating that the gambler should take the other side of the bet.
| Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Optimal Stake Part | Bet On | Final Score |
21st Dec 2024, 12:00 ET | Chattanooga 8.000 | Indiana 1.091 | 0.34 | Chattanooga ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 12:00 ET | Connecticut 1.232 | Butler 4.440 | 0.32 | Butler ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 12:00 ET | Marquette 1.465 | Xavier 2.788 | 0.31 | Xavier ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 12:00 ET | Princeton 3.170 | Rutgers 1.380 | 0.37 | Princeton ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 12:00 ET | Saint Joseph's 1.626 | Virginia Tech 2.375 | 0.27 | Virginia Tech ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 12:30 ET | Mississippi St. 1.833 | Memphis 2.000 | 0.62 | Memphis ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 13:00 ET | Fairfield 2.517 | Monmouth-NJ 1.561 | 0.19 | Monmouth-NJ ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 13:00 ET | Maine 1.626 | Stony Brook 2.375 | 0.5 | Stony Brook ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 13:00 ET | Manhattan 2.328 | Presbyterian 1.645 | 0.54 | Presbyterian ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 13:00 ET | Quinnipiac 2.184 | Central Conn. St. 1.734 | 0.48 | Central Conn. St. ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 13:00 ET | St. Francis (PA) 3.565 | Robert Morris 1.322 | 0.26 | Robert Morris ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | East Tennessee St. 1.761 | Kansas City 2.137 | 0.21 | East Tennessee St. ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | Jacksonville St. 1.870 | Eastern Kentucky 1.952 | 0.61 | Eastern Kentucky ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | Louisville 1.909 | Florida St. 1.909 | 0.22 | Florida St. ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 14:00 ET | St. Thomas (MN) 1.645 | Bowling Green 2.328 | 0.32 | Bowling Green ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 15:00 ET | Furman 1.734 | Harvard 2.184 | 0.47 | Harvard ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 15:00 ET | Marshall 1.608 | Southern Miss 2.422 | 0.1 | Marshall ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 15:00 ET | Old Dominion 1.870 | Louisiana-Monroe 1.952 | 0.27 | Old Dominion ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 15:00 ET | UC Riverside 4.440 | UNLV 1.232 | 0.28 | UC Riverside ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 15:00 ET | UCLA 1.769 | North Carolina 2.100 | 0.27 | North Carolina ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 15:30 ET | Georgia Southern 3.365 | Texas State 1.343 | 0.41 | Texas State ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 15:30 ET | Tennessee St. 2.422 | Morehead St. 1.608 | 0.29 | Morehead St. ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 16:00 ET | DePaul 3.565 | Northwestern 1.322 | 0.55 | Northwestern ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 16:00 ET | Idaho 2.642 | Pacific 1.510 | 0.49 | Idaho ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 16:00 ET | Lafayette 2.470 | Portland 1.576 | 0.45 | Lafayette ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 16:00 ET | Samford 1.050 | Alabama A&M 11.000 | 0.42 | Alabama A&M ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 16:00 ET | Villanova 2.564 | Creighton 1.546 | 0.16 | Villanova ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 16:45 ET | SIU - Edwardsville 1.833 | SE Missouri St. 2.000 | 0.72 | SE Missouri St. ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 17:00 ET | California Baptist 1.665 | Fresno St. 2.281 | 0.12 | California Baptist ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 17:00 ET | Northern Colorado 1.380 | Denver 3.170 | 0.12 | Denver ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 17:30 ET | Ohio St. 3.565 | Kentucky 1.322 | 0.51 | Kentucky ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 18:00 ET | Indiana - Purdue 4.140 | Florida International 1.260 | 0.22 | Florida International ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 18:00 ET | Utah 1.952 | Iowa 1.870 | 0.14 | Iowa ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 19:00 ET | Kansas St. 1.800 | Wichita St. 2.050 | 0.71 | Wichita St. ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 20:00 ET | Oregon 1.445 | Stanford 2.884 | 0.62 | Stanford ML | |
21st Dec 2024, 21:00 ET | Utah Valley 2.050 | Weber St. 1.800 | 0.42 | Weber St. ML |