Rugby Predictor Season 2023 – 2024
RUGBY Predictor
| Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Score Prediction | Confidence | Betting predictions Team 1 Win | Betting predictions Draw | Betting predictions Team 2 Win | Final Score |
| Australia NRL | ||||||||
15th Mar 2025, 00:00 EDT | South Sydney Rabbitohs 2.844 | St. George Illawarra Dragons 1.450 | 22:35 |  75.7% | 32.6% | 8.8% | 58.6% | |
15th Mar 2025, 02:30 EDT | Cronulla Sharks 1.370 | North Queensland Cowboys 3.320 | 38:32 |  32.4% | 49.2% | 13.6% | 37.2% | |
15th Mar 2025, 04:35 EDT | Brisbane Broncos | Canberra Raiders | Unlock | |||||
| World Super Rugby | ||||||||
15th Mar 2025, 02:05 EDT | Blues 4.540 | Chiefs 1.210 | 35:36 OT |  50.3% | 40.3% | 17.4% | 42.3% | |
15th Mar 2025, 04:35 EDT | Waratahs | Reds | 17:49 |  56.2% | 14% | 8% | 78% | |
Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor:
| Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Score Prediction | Total | Bookmaker Total | Final Score | Value Bet |
Australia NRL 15th Mar 2025, 00:00 EDT | South Sydney Rabbitohs 2.844 | St. George Illawarra Dragons 1.450 | 22:35 | 57 | 53.50 | Bet over 53.50 | |
World Super Rugby 15th Mar 2025, 02:05 EDT | Blues 4.540 | Chiefs 1.210 | 35:36 OT | 71 | 57.50 | Bet over 57.50 | |
Australia NRL 15th Mar 2025, 02:30 EDT | Cronulla Sharks 1.370 | North Queensland Cowboys 3.320 | 38:32 | 70 | 50.50 | Bet over 50.50 |
Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor and Kelly Criterion:
The Kelly Criterion is a bet-sizing technique which balances both risk and reward for the advantage gambler. It determines the optimal % of your total capital (ie bankroll) that you can bet on a single outcome or game. Here is the formula for the Kelly Criterion copied from Wikipedia:
Where:
- f* is the fraction of the current bankroll to wager;
- b is the net odds received on the wager (“b to 1”); that is, you could win $b (plus the $1 wagered) for a $1 bet
- p is the probability of winning;
- q is the probability of losing, which is 1 − p.
As an example, if a gamble has a 60% chance of winning (p = 0.60, q = 0.40), and the gambler receives 1-to-1 odds on a winning bet (b = 1), then the gambler should bet 20% of his bankroll at each opportunity (f* = 0.20), in order to maximize the long-run growth rate of the bankroll.
If the gambler has zero edge, i.e. if b = q / p, then the criterion recommends the gambler bets nothing.
If the edge is negative (b < q / p) the formula gives a negative result, indicating that the gambler should take the other side of the bet.
| Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Optimal Stake Part | Bet On | Final Score |
World Super Rugby 15th Mar 2025, 02:05 EDT | Blues 4.540 | Chiefs 1.210 | 0.23 | Blues ML | |
Australia NRL 15th Mar 2025, 02:30 EDT | Cronulla Sharks 1.370 | North Queensland Cowboys 3.320 | 0.1 | North Queensland Cowboys ML |