Rugby Predictor Season 2023 – 2024
RUGBY Predictor
| Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Score Prediction | Confidence | Betting predictions Team 1 Win | Betting predictions Draw | Betting predictions Team 2 Win | Final Score | |||
| Australia NRL | |||||||||||
9th May 2025, 04:00 EDT | Gold Coast Titans 2.730 | Newcastle Knights 1.496 | 15:55 |  40.2% | 5% | 10% | 85% | 24:20 | |||
9th May 2025, 06:00 EDT | Brisbane Broncos 1.290 | South Sydney Rabbitohs 3.730 | 44:26 |  46.2% | 63.05% | 9.9% | 27.05% | 14:22 | |||
| World Super Rugby | |||||||||||
9th May 2025, 03:05 EDT | Blues | Fijian Drua | Unlock | Unlock Prediction | |||||||
9th May 2025, 05:35 EDT | Reds | Waratahs | 29:31 |  69.4% | 39.15% | 17.7% | 43.15% | 28:21 | |||
Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor:
| Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Score Prediction | Total | Bookmaker Total | Final Score | Value Bet |
Australia NRL 9th May 2025, 04:00 EDT | Gold Coast Titans 2.730 | Newcastle Knights 1.496 | 15:55 | 70 | 47.50 | 24:20 | Bet over 47.50 |
Australia NRL 9th May 2025, 06:00 EDT | Brisbane Broncos 1.290 | South Sydney Rabbitohs 3.730 | 44:26 | 70 | 48.50 | 14:22 | Bet over 48.50 |
Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor and Kelly Criterion:
The Kelly Criterion is a bet-sizing technique which balances both risk and reward for the advantage gambler. It determines the optimal % of your total capital (ie bankroll) that you can bet on a single outcome or game. Here is the formula for the Kelly Criterion copied from Wikipedia:
Where:
- f* is the fraction of the current bankroll to wager;
- b is the net odds received on the wager (“b to 1”); that is, you could win $b (plus the $1 wagered) for a $1 bet
- p is the probability of winning;
- q is the probability of losing, which is 1 − p.
As an example, if a gamble has a 60% chance of winning (p = 0.60, q = 0.40), and the gambler receives 1-to-1 odds on a winning bet (b = 1), then the gambler should bet 20% of his bankroll at each opportunity (f* = 0.20), in order to maximize the long-run growth rate of the bankroll.
If the gambler has zero edge, i.e. if b = q / p, then the criterion recommends the gambler bets nothing.
If the edge is negative (b < q / p) the formula gives a negative result, indicating that the gambler should take the other side of the bet.
| Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Optimal Stake Part | Bet On | Final Score |
Australia NRL 9th May 2025, 04:00 EDT | Gold Coast Titans 2.730 | Newcastle Knights 1.496 | 0.55 | Newcastle Knights ML | 24:20 |