# AHL Predictor

### HOCKEY Predictor

Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Score Prediction | Confidence | Betting predictions Team 1 Win | Betting predictions Draw | Betting predictions Team 2 Win | Final Score | |||

Belarus Extraleague | |||||||||||

14th Oct 2024, 10:55 EDT | Molodechno 4.750 | Yunost Minsk 1.510 | 0:3 (0:1, 0:1, 0:1) | 85.4% | 34.25% | 21.3% | 44.45% | 4:3 OT | |||

14th Oct 2024, 12:00 EDT | Gomel 1.270 | Baranavichy 7.500 | 3:2 (1:0, 1:2, 1:0) | 60.9% | 41.85% | 19.7% | 38.45% | 5:3 | |||

14th Oct 2024, 13:10 EDT | Neman Grodno | Zhlobin | Unlock | Unlock Prediction | |||||||

Czech Republic Extraliga | |||||||||||

14th Oct 2024, 12:00 EDT | Mlada Boleslav 3.345 | Kometa Brno 1.940 | 1:2 (1:0, 0:1, 0:1) | 71.3% | 37.65% | 21.3% | 41.05% | 2:4 | |||

Denmark Metal Ligaen | |||||||||||

14th Oct 2024, 13:00 EDT | Odense Bulldogs 1.960 | Frederikshavn 3.025 | 1:2 (1:0, 0:0, 0:2) | 70.6% | 37.65% | 21.3% | 41.05% | 8:1 | |||

Sweden SHL | |||||||||||

14th Oct 2024, 13:00 EDT | Modo | Brynas | Unlock | Unlock Prediction |

Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor:

Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Score Prediction | Money line1 | Money line2 | Final Score | Value Bet |

Belarus Extraleague 14th Oct 2024, 12:00 EDT | Gomel 1.270 | Baranavichy 7.500 | 3:2 | 1.270 | 7.500 | 5:3 | Take Baranavichy +2.5 |

Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Score Prediction | Total | Bookmaker Total | Final Score | Value Bet |

Belarus Extraleague 14th Oct 2024, 12:00 EDT | Gomel 1.270 | Baranavichy 7.500 | 3:2 | 5 | 5.50 | 5:3 | Bet under 5.50 |

Czech Republic Extraliga 14th Oct 2024, 12:00 EDT | Mlada Boleslav 3.345 | Kometa Brno 1.940 | 1:2 | 3 | 4.50 | 2:4 | Bet under 4.50 |

Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor and Kelly Criterion:

The Kelly Criterion is a bet-sizing technique which balances both risk and reward for the advantage gambler. It determines the optimal % of your total capital (ie bankroll) that you can bet on a single outcome or game. Here is the formula for the Kelly Criterion copied from Wikipedia:

Where:

- f* is the fraction of the current bankroll to wager;
- b is the net odds received on the wager (“b to 1”); that is, you could win $b (plus the $1 wagered) for a $1 bet
- p is the probability of winning;
- q is the probability of losing, which is 1 − p.

As an example, if a gamble has a 60% chance of winning (p = 0.60, q = 0.40), and the gambler receives 1-to-1 odds on a winning bet (b = 1), then the gambler should bet 20% of his bankroll at each opportunity (f* = 0.20), in order to maximize the long-run growth rate of the bankroll.

If the gambler has zero edge, i.e. if b = q / p, then the criterion recommends the gambler bets nothing.

If the edge is negative (b < q / p) the formula gives a negative result, indicating that the gambler should take the other side of the bet.

Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Optimal Stake Part | Bet On | Final Score |

Czech Republic Extraliga 14th Oct 2024, 12:00 EDT | Mlada Boleslav 3.345 | Kometa Brno 1.940 | 0.11 | Mlada Boleslav ML | 2:4 |

Denmark Metal Ligaen 14th Oct 2024, 13:00 EDT | Odense Bulldogs 1.960 | Frederikshavn 3.025 | 0.12 | Frederikshavn ML | 8:1 |