Rugby Predictor Season 2023 – 2024
RUGBY Predictor
| Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Score Prediction | Confidence | Betting predictions Team 1 Win | Betting predictions Draw | Betting predictions Team 2 Win | Final Score |
| Australia NRL | ||||||||
27th Jul 2024, 01:00 EDT | Canterbury Bulldogs 4.060 | Brisbane Broncos 1.270 | 35:20 |  60.2% | 60.85% | 8.3% | 30.85% | 41:16 |
27th Jul 2024, 03:30 EDT | Cronulla Sharks 2.280 | North Queensland Cowboys 1.656 | 17:33 |  33.8% | 29.65% | 8.7% | 61.65% | 4:10 |
27th Jul 2024, 05:35 EDT | Manly Sea Eagles | Sydney Roosters | Unlock | |||||
| England Super League | ||||||||
27th Jul 2024, 10:00 EDT | Castleford Tigers 3.415 | Salford Red Devils 1.370 | 22:44 |  59.5% | 23.6% | 8.8% | 67.6% | |
27th Jul 2024, 13:00 EDT | Hull FC 8.450 | Catalans Dragons 1.080 | 5:55 | 55.3% | -3.95% | 7.9% | 96.05% | |
Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor:
| Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Score Prediction | Total | Bookmaker Total | Final Score | Value Bet |
Australia NRL 27th Jul 2024, 01:00 EDT | Canterbury Bulldogs 4.060 | Brisbane Broncos 1.270 | 35:20 | 55 | 47.50 | 41:16 | Bet over 47.50 |
Australia NRL 27th Jul 2024, 03:30 EDT | Cronulla Sharks 2.280 | North Queensland Cowboys 1.656 | 17:33 | 50 | 49.50 | 4:10 | Bet over 49.50 |
England Super League 27th Jul 2024, 10:00 EDT | Castleford Tigers 3.415 | Salford Red Devils 1.370 | 22:44 | 66 | 38.50 | Bet over 38.50 | |
England Super League 27th Jul 2024, 13:00 EDT | Hull FC 8.450 | Catalans Dragons 1.080 | 5:55 | 60 | 40.50 | Bet over 40.50 |
Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor and Kelly Criterion:
The Kelly Criterion is a bet-sizing technique which balances both risk and reward for the advantage gambler. It determines the optimal % of your total capital (ie bankroll) that you can bet on a single outcome or game. Here is the formula for the Kelly Criterion copied from Wikipedia:
Where:
- f* is the fraction of the current bankroll to wager;
- b is the net odds received on the wager (“b to 1”); that is, you could win $b (plus the $1 wagered) for a $1 bet
- p is the probability of winning;
- q is the probability of losing, which is 1 − p.
As an example, if a gamble has a 60% chance of winning (p = 0.60, q = 0.40), and the gambler receives 1-to-1 odds on a winning bet (b = 1), then the gambler should bet 20% of his bankroll at each opportunity (f* = 0.20), in order to maximize the long-run growth rate of the bankroll.
If the gambler has zero edge, i.e. if b = q / p, then the criterion recommends the gambler bets nothing.
If the edge is negative (b < q / p) the formula gives a negative result, indicating that the gambler should take the other side of the bet.
| Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Optimal Stake Part | Bet On | Final Score |
Australia NRL 27th Jul 2024, 01:00 EDT | Canterbury Bulldogs 4.060 | Brisbane Broncos 1.270 | 0.48 | Canterbury Bulldogs ML | 41:16 |