Rugby Predictor Season 2023 – 2024

RUGBY Predictor

DateTeam 1Team 2Score PredictionConfidenceBetting predictions Team 1 WinBetting predictions DrawBetting predictions Team 2 WinFinal Score
Australia NRL

18th May 2024,

01:00 EDT

Newcastle Knights
1.485
Gold Coast Titans
2.864
38:16
60.1%
68.35%7.3%24.35%
28:24

18th May 2024,

03:30 EDT

Sydney Roosters
1.656
Cronulla Sharks
2.340
35:22
57.9%
58.7%8.6%32.7%
30:38

18th May 2024,

05:45 EDT

North Queensland Cowboys
South Sydney Rabbitohs
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18th May 2024,

23:50 EDT

Penrith Panthers
1.180
New Zealand Warriors
5.440
60:10
73.6%
95.9%0%4.1%
World Super Rugby

18th May 2024,

00:35 EDT

Crusaders
3.440
Brumbies
1.310
38:71
44.6%
12.8%8.4%78.8%
24:31

18th May 2024,

03:05 EDT

Highlanders
Blues
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18th May 2024,

05:35 EDT

Waratahs
2.400
Force
1.640
12:58
59.9%
0.1%7.8%92.1%
7:27

Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor:

DateTeam 1Team 2Score PredictionTotalBookmaker TotalFinal ScoreValue Bet
World Super Rugby

18th May 2024,

00:35 EDT

Crusaders
3.440
Brumbies
1.310
38:71
10953.50
24:31
Bet over 53.50
Australia NRL

18th May 2024,

01:00 EDT

Newcastle Knights
1.485
Gold Coast Titans
2.864
38:16
5447.50
28:24
Bet over 47.50
Australia NRL

18th May 2024,

03:30 EDT

Sydney Roosters
1.656
Cronulla Sharks
2.340
35:22
5743.50
30:38
Bet over 43.50
Australia NRL

18th May 2024,

23:50 EDT

Penrith Panthers
1.180
New Zealand Warriors
5.440
60:10
7041.50Bet over 41.50

Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor and Kelly Criterion:

What is Kelly Criterion?

The Kelly Criterion is a bet-sizing technique which balances both risk and reward for the advantage gambler. It determines the optimal % of your total capital (ie bankroll) that you can bet on a single outcome or game. Here is the formula for the Kelly Criterion copied from Wikipedia:

Where:

  • f* is the fraction of the current bankroll to wager;
  • b is the net odds received on the wager (“b to 1”); that is, you could win $b (plus the $1 wagered) for a $1 bet
  • p is the probability of winning;
  • q is the probability of losing, which is 1 − p.

As an example, if a gamble has a 60% chance of winning (p = 0.60, q = 0.40), and the gambler receives 1-to-1 odds on a winning bet (b = 1), then the gambler should bet 20% of his bankroll at each opportunity (f* = 0.20), in order to maximize the long-run growth rate of the bankroll.

If the gambler has zero edge, i.e. if b = q / p, then the criterion recommends the gambler bets nothing.

If the edge is negative (b < q / p) the formula gives a negative result, indicating that the gambler should take the other side of the bet.

DateTeam 1Team 2Optimal Stake PartBet OnFinal Score
World Super Rugby

18th May 2024,

05:35 EDT

Waratahs
2.400
Force
1.640
0.8
Force ML
7:27
Australia NRL

18th May 2024,

23:50 EDT

Penrith Panthers
1.180
New Zealand Warriors
5.440
0.73
Penrith Panthers ML