Baseball Predictor & Point Spreads

BASEBALL Predictor

DateTeam 1Team 2Score Prediction First InningScore Prediction Final ScoreConfidenceBetting predictions Team 1 WinBetting predictions Team 2 WinFirst Inning ResultFinal Score
Mexico LMB

28th Apr 2025,

21:30 EDT

Saltillo
2.828
Monterrey
1.420
2:0
4:6
69%
22.22%77.78%
1:0
10:0

Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor:

DateTeam 1Team 2Score PredictionTotalBookmaker TotalFinal ScoreValue Bet
Mexico LMB

28th Apr 2025,

21:30 EDT

Saltillo
2.828
Monterrey
1.420
4:6
109.50
10:0
Bet over 9.50

Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor and Kelly Criterion:

What is Kelly Criterion?

The Kelly Criterion is a bet-sizing technique which balances both risk and reward for the advantage gambler. It determines the optimal % of your total capital (ie bankroll) that you can bet on a single outcome or game. Here is the formula for the Kelly Criterion copied from Wikipedia:

Where:

  • f* is the fraction of the current bankroll to wager;
  • b is the net odds received on the wager (“b to 1”); that is, you could win $b (plus the $1 wagered) for a $1 bet
  • p is the probability of winning;
  • q is the probability of losing, which is 1 − p.

As an example, if a gamble has a 60% chance of winning (p = 0.60, q = 0.40), and the gambler receives 1-to-1 odds on a winning bet (b = 1), then the gambler should bet 20% of his bankroll at each opportunity (f* = 0.20), in order to maximize the long-run growth rate of the bankroll.

If the gambler has zero edge, i.e. if b = q / p, then the criterion recommends the gambler bets nothing.

If the edge is negative (b < q / p) the formula gives a negative result, indicating that the gambler should take the other side of the bet.

DateTeam 1Team 2Optimal Stake PartBet OnFinal Score
Mexico LMB

28th Apr 2025,

21:30 EDT

Saltillo
2.828
Monterrey
1.420
0.25
Monterrey ML
10:0