Rugby Predictor Season 2023 – 2024
RUGBY Predictor
Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Score Prediction | Confidence | Betting predictions Team 1 Win | Betting predictions Draw | Betting predictions Team 2 Win | Final Score | |||
Australia NRL | |||||||||||
14th Sep 2024, 02:05 EDT | Cronulla Sharks 3.770 | Melbourne Storm 1.288 | 41:33 | 56.9% | 50.75% | 14.5% | 34.75% | 10:37 | |||
14th Sep 2024, 05:50 EDT | Newcastle Knights 3.296 | North Queensland Cowboys 1.370 | 17:44 | 75.5% | 19.3% | 7.4% | 73.3% | 16:28 | |||
England Super League | |||||||||||
14th Sep 2024, 12:05 EDT | Salford Red Devils | Hull FC | Unlock | Unlock Prediction | |||||||
14th Sep 2024, 13:00 EDT | Warrington Wolves 1.120 | Huddersfield 6.540 | 49:13 | 90.8% | 81.25% | 9.5% | 9.25% | 66:0 | |||
14th Sep 2024, 15:00 EDT | London Broncos 7.030 | Catalans Dragons 1.104 | 12:43 | 72.6% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 75.8% | 8:12 | |||
New Zealand ITM Cup | |||||||||||
14th Sep 2024, 00:35 EDT | Manawatu | North Harbour | Unlock | Unlock Prediction | |||||||
14th Sep 2024, 03:05 EDT | Hawke's Bay 2.375 | Waikato 1.630 | 46:25 | 82.5% | 66.35% | 9.3% | 24.35% | 5:50 | |||
14th Sep 2024, 22:05 EDT | Otago 1.910 | Counties Manukau 1.910 | 17:42 | 64.2% | 21.1% | 7.8% | 71.1% | 17:45 | |||
14th Sep 2024, 22:05 EDT | Wellington | Tasman | Unlock | Unlock Prediction |
Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor:
Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Score Prediction | Total | Bookmaker Total | Final Score | Value Bet |
Australia NRL 14th Sep 2024, 02:05 EDT | Cronulla Sharks 3.770 | Melbourne Storm 1.288 | 41:33 | 74 | 45.50 | 10:37 | Bet over 45.50 |
New Zealand ITM Cup 14th Sep 2024, 03:05 EDT | Hawke's Bay 2.375 | Waikato 1.630 | 46:25 | 71 | 47.50 | 5:50 | Bet over 47.50 |
Australia NRL 14th Sep 2024, 05:50 EDT | Newcastle Knights 3.296 | North Queensland Cowboys 1.370 | 17:44 | 61 | 46.50 | 16:28 | Bet over 46.50 |
England Super League 14th Sep 2024, 13:00 EDT | Warrington Wolves 1.120 | Huddersfield 6.540 | 49:13 | 62 | 42.50 | 66:0 | Bet over 42.50 |
England Super League 14th Sep 2024, 15:00 EDT | London Broncos 7.030 | Catalans Dragons 1.104 | 12:43 | 55 | 42.50 | 8:12 | Bet over 42.50 |
New Zealand ITM Cup 14th Sep 2024, 22:05 EDT | Otago 1.910 | Counties Manukau 1.910 | 17:42 | 59 | 54.50 | 17:45 | Bet over 54.50 |
Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor and Kelly Criterion:
The Kelly Criterion is a bet-sizing technique which balances both risk and reward for the advantage gambler. It determines the optimal % of your total capital (ie bankroll) that you can bet on a single outcome or game. Here is the formula for the Kelly Criterion copied from Wikipedia:
Where:
- f* is the fraction of the current bankroll to wager;
- b is the net odds received on the wager (“b to 1”); that is, you could win $b (plus the $1 wagered) for a $1 bet
- p is the probability of winning;
- q is the probability of losing, which is 1 − p.
As an example, if a gamble has a 60% chance of winning (p = 0.60, q = 0.40), and the gambler receives 1-to-1 odds on a winning bet (b = 1), then the gambler should bet 20% of his bankroll at each opportunity (f* = 0.20), in order to maximize the long-run growth rate of the bankroll.
If the gambler has zero edge, i.e. if b = q / p, then the criterion recommends the gambler bets nothing.
If the edge is negative (b < q / p) the formula gives a negative result, indicating that the gambler should take the other side of the bet.
Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Optimal Stake Part | Bet On | Final Score |
Australia NRL 14th Sep 2024, 02:05 EDT | Cronulla Sharks 3.770 | Melbourne Storm 1.288 | 0.33 | Cronulla Sharks ML | 10:37 |
New Zealand ITM Cup 14th Sep 2024, 03:05 EDT | Hawke's Bay 2.375 | Waikato 1.630 | 0.42 | Hawke's Bay ML | 5:50 |
New Zealand ITM Cup 14th Sep 2024, 22:05 EDT | Otago 1.910 | Counties Manukau 1.910 | 0.39 | Counties Manukau ML | 17:45 |