Rugby Predictor Season 2023 – 2024
RUGBY Predictor
Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Score Prediction | Confidence | Betting predictions Team 1 Win | Betting predictions Draw | Betting predictions Team 2 Win | Final Score | |||
Australia NRL | |||||||||||
6th Sep 2024, 04:00 EDT | Parramatta Eels 1.660 | Wests Tigers 2.315 | 20:35 OT | 70.6% | 31.05% | 7.9% | 61.05% | 60:26 | |||
6th Sep 2024, 06:00 EDT | Sydney Roosters 1.216 | South Sydney Rabbitohs 4.480 | 58:12 | 66.8% | 91% | 0% | 9% | 36:28 | |||
England Super League | |||||||||||
6th Sep 2024, 15:00 EDT | Hull FC | Leeds Rhinos | Unlock | Unlock Prediction | |||||||
6th Sep 2024, 15:00 EDT | Hull KR 2.740 | Wigan Warriors 1.496 | 23:37 | 74.4% | 32.25% | 7.5% | 60.25% | 20:24 | |||
6th Sep 2024, 15:00 EDT | Leigh 1.264 | Castleford Tigers 4.050 | 47:12 | 93.2% | 79.6% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 34:12 | |||
New Zealand ITM Cup | |||||||||||
6th Sep 2024, 03:05 EDT | Manawatu | Bay of Plenty | Unlock | Unlock Prediction | |||||||
6th Sep 2024, 22:05 EDT | North Harbour 2.645 | Auckland 1.525 | 23:27 | 60.6% | 35.8% | 20.4% | 43.8% | 32:36 | |||
6th Sep 2024, 22:05 EDT | Southland 8.030 | Wellington 1.085 | 22:68 | 63.1% | -0.05% | 8.1% | 91.95% | 12:36 |
Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor:
Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Score Prediction | Total | Bookmaker Total | Final Score | Value Bet |
Australia NRL 6th Sep 2024, 04:00 EDT | Parramatta Eels 1.660 | Wests Tigers 2.315 | 20:35 OT | 55 | 55.50 | 60:26 | Bet under 55.50 |
Australia NRL 6th Sep 2024, 06:00 EDT | Sydney Roosters 1.216 | South Sydney Rabbitohs 4.480 | 58:12 | 70 | 55.50 | 36:28 | Bet over 55.50 |
England Super League 6th Sep 2024, 15:00 EDT | Hull KR 2.740 | Wigan Warriors 1.496 | 23:37 | 60 | 34.50 | 20:24 | Bet over 34.50 |
England Super League 6th Sep 2024, 15:00 EDT | Leigh 1.264 | Castleford Tigers 4.050 | 47:12 | 59 | 40.50 | 34:12 | Bet over 40.50 |
New Zealand ITM Cup 6th Sep 2024, 22:05 EDT | North Harbour 2.645 | Auckland 1.525 | 23:27 | 50 | 58.50 | 32:36 | Bet under 58.50 |
New Zealand ITM Cup 6th Sep 2024, 22:05 EDT | Southland 8.030 | Wellington 1.085 | 22:68 | 90 | 59.50 | 12:36 | Bet over 59.50 |
Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor and Kelly Criterion:
The Kelly Criterion is a bet-sizing technique which balances both risk and reward for the advantage gambler. It determines the optimal % of your total capital (ie bankroll) that you can bet on a single outcome or game. Here is the formula for the Kelly Criterion copied from Wikipedia:
Where:
- f* is the fraction of the current bankroll to wager;
- b is the net odds received on the wager (“b to 1”); that is, you could win $b (plus the $1 wagered) for a $1 bet
- p is the probability of winning;
- q is the probability of losing, which is 1 − p.
As an example, if a gamble has a 60% chance of winning (p = 0.60, q = 0.40), and the gambler receives 1-to-1 odds on a winning bet (b = 1), then the gambler should bet 20% of his bankroll at each opportunity (f* = 0.20), in order to maximize the long-run growth rate of the bankroll.
If the gambler has zero edge, i.e. if b = q / p, then the criterion recommends the gambler bets nothing.
If the edge is negative (b < q / p) the formula gives a negative result, indicating that the gambler should take the other side of the bet.
Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Optimal Stake Part | Bet On | Final Score |
Australia NRL 6th Sep 2024, 04:00 EDT | Parramatta Eels 1.660 | Wests Tigers 2.315 | 0.31 | Wests Tigers ML | 60:26 |
Australia NRL 6th Sep 2024, 06:00 EDT | Sydney Roosters 1.216 | South Sydney Rabbitohs 4.480 | 0.49 | Sydney Roosters ML | 36:28 |