Rugby Predictor Season 2023 – 2024
RUGBY Predictor
Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Score Prediction | Confidence | Betting predictions Team 1 Win | Betting predictions Draw | Betting predictions Team 2 Win | Final Score | |||
Australia NRL | |||||||||||
7th Sep 2024, 01:00 EDT | Canberra Raiders 2.250 | St. George Illawarra Dragons 1.700 | 30:25 | 59.7% | 44.2% | 21.6% | 34.2% | 26:24 | |||
7th Sep 2024, 03:30 EDT | North Queensland Cowboys 1.896 | Canterbury Bulldogs 1.975 | 22:32 | 78.9% | 31.65% | 16.7% | 51.65% | 44:6 | |||
7th Sep 2024, 05:35 EDT | Gold Coast Titans | Penrith Panthers | Unlock | Unlock Prediction | |||||||
England Super League | |||||||||||
7th Sep 2024, 10:00 EDT | St Helens 3.040 | Warrington Wolves 1.420 | 26:41 | 66.4% | 31.45% | 7.1% | 61.45% | 2:16 | |||
7th Sep 2024, 12:30 EDT | Catalans Dragons 2.904 | Salford Red Devils 1.450 | 23:46 | 89.7% | 22.75% | 8.5% | 68.75% | 12:27 | |||
New Zealand ITM Cup | |||||||||||
7th Sep 2024, 00:35 EDT | Canterbury | Otago | Unlock | Unlock Prediction | |||||||
7th Sep 2024, 03:05 EDT | Tasman 1.960 | Hawke's Bay 1.910 | 37:56 | 94.3% | 26.9% | 8.2% | 64.9% | 25:24 | |||
7th Sep 2024, 22:05 EDT | Waikato 3.610 | Taranaki 1.310 | 30:48 | 88.6% | 28% | 8% | 64% | 19:25 | |||
World Rugby Championship | |||||||||||
7th Sep 2024, 11:00 EDT | New Zealand | South Africa | Unlock | Unlock Prediction | |||||||
7th Sep 2024, 15:00 EDT | Australia 2.921 | Argentina 1.410 | 29:51 | 63.5% | 24.2% | 7.6% | 68.2% | 27:67 |
Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor:
Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Score Prediction | Total | Bookmaker Total | Final Score | Value Bet |
Australia NRL 7th Sep 2024, 01:00 EDT | Canberra Raiders 2.250 | St. George Illawarra Dragons 1.700 | 30:25 | 55 | 55.50 | 26:24 | Bet under 55.50 |
New Zealand ITM Cup 7th Sep 2024, 03:05 EDT | Tasman 1.960 | Hawke's Bay 1.910 | 37:56 | 93 | 55.50 | 25:24 | Bet over 55.50 |
Australia NRL 7th Sep 2024, 03:30 EDT | North Queensland Cowboys 1.896 | Canterbury Bulldogs 1.975 | 22:32 | 54 | 51.50 | 44:6 | Bet over 51.50 |
England Super League 7th Sep 2024, 10:00 EDT | St Helens 3.040 | Warrington Wolves 1.420 | 26:41 | 67 | 36.50 | 2:16 | Bet over 36.50 |
England Super League 7th Sep 2024, 12:30 EDT | Catalans Dragons 2.904 | Salford Red Devils 1.450 | 23:46 | 69 | 36.50 | 12:27 | Bet over 36.50 |
World Rugby Championship 7th Sep 2024, 15:00 EDT | Australia 2.921 | Argentina 1.410 | 29:51 | 80 | 50.50 | 27:67 | Bet over 50.50 |
New Zealand ITM Cup 7th Sep 2024, 22:05 EDT | Waikato 3.610 | Taranaki 1.310 | 30:48 | 78 | 55.50 | 19:25 | Bet over 55.50 |
Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor and Kelly Criterion:
The Kelly Criterion is a bet-sizing technique which balances both risk and reward for the advantage gambler. It determines the optimal % of your total capital (ie bankroll) that you can bet on a single outcome or game. Here is the formula for the Kelly Criterion copied from Wikipedia:
Where:
- f* is the fraction of the current bankroll to wager;
- b is the net odds received on the wager (“b to 1”); that is, you could win $b (plus the $1 wagered) for a $1 bet
- p is the probability of winning;
- q is the probability of losing, which is 1 − p.
As an example, if a gamble has a 60% chance of winning (p = 0.60, q = 0.40), and the gambler receives 1-to-1 odds on a winning bet (b = 1), then the gambler should bet 20% of his bankroll at each opportunity (f* = 0.20), in order to maximize the long-run growth rate of the bankroll.
If the gambler has zero edge, i.e. if b = q / p, then the criterion recommends the gambler bets nothing.
If the edge is negative (b < q / p) the formula gives a negative result, indicating that the gambler should take the other side of the bet.
Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Optimal Stake Part | Bet On | Final Score |
New Zealand ITM Cup 7th Sep 2024, 03:05 EDT | Tasman 1.960 | Hawke's Bay 1.910 | 0.26 | Hawke's Bay ML | 25:24 |