Table Tennis Predictor
TAB_TENNIS Predictor
Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Score Prediction | Confidence | Betting predictions Team 1 Win | Betting predictions Team 2 Win | Final Score |
TT Cup. Estonia | |||||||
21st Sep 2024, 11:15 EDT | Markus-Oliver Annuk 1.833 | Sergei Provodin 1.833 | 1:3 | 73% | 34.5% | 65.5% | |
21st Sep 2024, 11:45 EDT | Marko Mannik 1.727 | Le Liu 2.000 | 3:1 | 67.17% | 67% | 33% | |
21st Sep 2024, 12:15 EDT | Marko Mannik | Sergei Provodin | Unlock | ||||
21st Sep 2024, 12:45 EDT | Le Liu 1.635 | Markus-Oliver Annuk 2.188 | 2:3 | 75.54% | 33.9% | 66.1% |
Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor and Kelly Criterion:
The Kelly Criterion is a bet-sizing technique which balances both risk and reward for the advantage gambler. It determines the optimal % of your total capital (ie bankroll) that you can bet on a single outcome or game. Here is the formula for the Kelly Criterion copied from Wikipedia:
Where:
- f* is the fraction of the current bankroll to wager;
- b is the net odds received on the wager (“b to 1”); that is, you could win $b (plus the $1 wagered) for a $1 bet
- p is the probability of winning;
- q is the probability of losing, which is 1 − p.
As an example, if a gamble has a 60% chance of winning (p = 0.60, q = 0.40), and the gambler receives 1-to-1 odds on a winning bet (b = 1), then the gambler should bet 20% of his bankroll at each opportunity (f* = 0.20), in order to maximize the long-run growth rate of the bankroll.
If the gambler has zero edge, i.e. if b = q / p, then the criterion recommends the gambler bets nothing.
If the edge is negative (b < q / p) the formula gives a negative result, indicating that the gambler should take the other side of the bet.
Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Optimal Stake Part | Bet On | Final Score |
TT Cup. Estonia 21st Sep 2024, 11:15 EDT | Markus-Oliver Annuk 1.833 | Sergei Provodin 1.833 | 0.24 | Sergei Provodin ML | |
TT Cup. Estonia 21st Sep 2024, 11:45 EDT | Marko Mannik 1.727 | Le Liu 2.000 | 0.22 | Marko Mannik ML | |
TT Cup. Estonia 21st Sep 2024, 12:45 EDT | Le Liu 1.635 | Markus-Oliver Annuk 2.188 | 0.38 | Markus-Oliver Annuk ML |