AFC Divisional Round: Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

By Ryan Corner

As the AFC Divisional Round unfolds, it brings to the forefront a clash of titans, a confrontation between the AFC West champions, Kansas City Chiefs, and AFC East champions, Buffalo Bills. This face-off is set to take place at the Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, N.Y., promising to be an exciting and nail-biting event for football fans worldwide.

The Road to the Divisional Round

The Kansas City Chiefs, with a 12-6 record, secured the third seed in the NFL playoff bracket. They have been on a winning streak, clinching victory in their last three matches and four out of their previous five. On the other hand, the Buffalo Bills, also holding a 12-6 record, seized the second seed in the AFC. They have been on a roll, winning six successive games.

The Chiefs advanced to the Divisional Round with a 26-7 triumph over the Miami Dolphins, while the Bills defeated Pittsburgh 31-17 last Monday. This isn’t the first time these teams are locking horns; in Week 14, the Bills outperformed the Chiefs with a 20-17 victory at Kansas City.

How to Watch the Game

Sports enthusiasts can tune into CBS to watch this thrilling game, or stream it live on Paramount+. The kickoff from Highmark Stadium is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. ET on CBS and Paramount+.

Betting Odds and Predictions

According to the latest odds from SportsLine Consensus, Buffalo is a 2.5-point favorite. The over/under for total points scored is set at 45.5. Before making any decisions on Chiefs vs. Bills picks, it’s advisable to check out the latest NFL predictions from SportsLine’s proven projection model.

This model, simulating every NFL game 10,000 times, has provided profitable results for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks, earning them well over $7,000 since its inception. Entering the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs, the model is on an impressive 183-129 run on top-rated NFL picks, dating back to the 2017 season.

Key Players to Watch

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo’s offense boasts four pass catchers with 44 or more receptions, led by wide receiver Stefon Diggs. In 17 games, Diggs has made 107 receptions for 1,183 yards (11.1 average) and eight scores. Tight end Dalton Kincaid has been a significant threat to opposing defenses with 73 receptions for 673 yards (9.2 average) and two TDs.

On the defensive side, veteran safety Jordan Poyer is among Buffalo’s top performers. In 16 games, Poyer made 101 tackles, including 67 solo. He also had one sack for four yards with two tackles for loss and forced one fumble, while breaking up four passes.

Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes, a seventh-year veteran, has been a pivotal figure for the Chiefs, leading them to three Super Bowls since 2019 and winning two of them. In 96 regular-season games, Mahomes has thrown for 28,424 yards and 219 touchdowns with just 63 interceptions and a rating of 103.5.

On the defensive front, fourth-year veteran cornerback L’Jarius Sneed is a key contributor. During the regular season, Sneed was among Kansas City’s top tacklers, making 78 stops, including 60 solo. He registered five tackles for loss, one fumble recovery, 14 pass breakups, and two interceptions.

Expert Picks and Predictions

SportsLine’s model leans over the total, predicting a total of 48 points. It also suggests that one side of the spread holds all the value. As for who wins the Chiefs vs. Bills in the NFL playoffs 2024, and which side of the spread holds all the value, it’s recommended to visit SportsLine to see the model’s NFL picks and analysis.

Betting Lines and Odds

Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Chiefs vs. Bills:

  • Bills vs. Chiefs spread: Buffalo -2.5
  • Bills vs. Chiefs over/under: 45.5 points
  • Bills vs. Chiefs money line: Buffalo -149, Kansas City +125
  • KC: Chiefs were 10-7 against the spread this season
  • BUF: Bills are 8-10 ATS this season


The showdown between the Bills and Chiefs is expected to be a thrilling duel of strategies, skills, and determination. The result is difficult to predict, as both teams have proven their mettle in their respective divisions. With promising players on both sides and the stakes higher than ever, this Divisional Round clash is sure to keep football fans on the edge of their seats.

Tags : 2024, analysis, betting, Divisional Round, Nfl, odds

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