Baseball Predictor & Point Spreads
BASEBALL Predictor
Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Score Prediction First Inning | Score Prediction Final Score | Confidence | Betting predictions Team 1 Win | Betting predictions Team 2 Win | First Inning Result | Final Score | |||
Japan NPB | ||||||||||||
18th Sep 2024, 05:00 EDT | Chiba Lotte Marines 1.889 | Rakuten Gold. Eagles 1.931 | 2:0 | 3:1 | 24.3% | 78.57% | 21.43% | 0:0 | 1:8 | |||
18th Sep 2024, 05:00 EDT | Hanshin Tigers 1.942 | Chunichi Dragons 1.879 | 0:0 | 5:0 | 56.5% | 84.62% | 15.38% | 0:0 | 8:3 | |||
18th Sep 2024, 05:00 EDT | Hiroshima Carp | Yakult Swallows | Unlock | Unlock Prediction | ||||||||
18th Sep 2024, 05:00 EDT | Nippon Ham Fighters 1.931 | Fukuoka S. Hawks 1.889 | 1:0 | 1:6 | 62.7% | 18.75% | 81.25% | 0:0 | 3:0 | |||
18th Sep 2024, 05:00 EDT | Orix Buffaloes 1.693 | Seibu Lions 2.191 | 1:0 | 3:4 | 63.1% | 25% | 75% | 1:1 | 1:3 | |||
18th Sep 2024, 05:00 EDT | Yokohama Baystars | Yomiuri Giants | Unlock | Unlock Prediction | ||||||||
South Korea KBO | ||||||||||||
18th Sep 2024, 04:00 EDT | Hanwha Eagles 2.128 | NC Dinos 1.733 | 2:0 | 7:13 | 48.7% | 32.14% | 67.86% | 1:2 | 2:5 | |||
18th Sep 2024, 04:00 EDT | LG Twins 1.581 | Lotte Giants 2.412 | 0:2 | 7:12 | 31.7% | 33.33% | 66.67% | 0:0 | 5:3 | |||
18th Sep 2024, 04:00 EDT | Samsung Lions | KT Wiz Suwon | Unlock | Unlock Prediction |
Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor:
Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Score Prediction | Total | Bookmaker Total | Final Score | Value Bet |
South Korea KBO 18th Sep 2024, 04:00 EDT | Hanwha Eagles 2.128 | NC Dinos 1.733 | 7:13 | 20 | 11.50 | 2:5 | Bet over 11.50 |
South Korea KBO 18th Sep 2024, 04:00 EDT | LG Twins 1.581 | Lotte Giants 2.412 | 7:12 | 19 | 11.50 | 5:3 | Bet over 11.50 |
Japan NPB 18th Sep 2024, 05:00 EDT | Chiba Lotte Marines 1.889 | Rakuten Gold. Eagles 1.931 | 3:1 | 4 | 7.50 | 1:8 | Bet under 7.50 |
Japan NPB 18th Sep 2024, 05:00 EDT | Hanshin Tigers 1.942 | Chunichi Dragons 1.879 | 5:0 | 5 | 4.50 | 8:3 | Bet over 4.50 |
Japan NPB 18th Sep 2024, 05:00 EDT | Nippon Ham Fighters 1.931 | Fukuoka S. Hawks 1.889 | 1:6 | 7 | 6.50 | 3:0 | Bet over 6.50 |
Japan NPB 18th Sep 2024, 05:00 EDT | Orix Buffaloes 1.693 | Seibu Lions 2.191 | 3:4 | 7 | 4.50 | 1:3 | Bet over 4.50 |
Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor and Kelly Criterion:
The Kelly Criterion is a bet-sizing technique which balances both risk and reward for the advantage gambler. It determines the optimal % of your total capital (ie bankroll) that you can bet on a single outcome or game. Here is the formula for the Kelly Criterion copied from Wikipedia:
Where:
- f* is the fraction of the current bankroll to wager;
- b is the net odds received on the wager (“b to 1”); that is, you could win $b (plus the $1 wagered) for a $1 bet
- p is the probability of winning;
- q is the probability of losing, which is 1 − p.
As an example, if a gamble has a 60% chance of winning (p = 0.60, q = 0.40), and the gambler receives 1-to-1 odds on a winning bet (b = 1), then the gambler should bet 20% of his bankroll at each opportunity (f* = 0.20), in order to maximize the long-run growth rate of the bankroll.
If the gambler has zero edge, i.e. if b = q / p, then the criterion recommends the gambler bets nothing.
If the edge is negative (b < q / p) the formula gives a negative result, indicating that the gambler should take the other side of the bet.
Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Optimal Stake Part | Bet On | Final Score |
South Korea KBO 18th Sep 2024, 04:00 EDT | Hanwha Eagles 2.128 | NC Dinos 1.733 | 0.24 | NC Dinos ML | 2:5 |
South Korea KBO 18th Sep 2024, 04:00 EDT | LG Twins 1.581 | Lotte Giants 2.412 | 0.43 | Lotte Giants ML | 5:3 |
Japan NPB 18th Sep 2024, 05:00 EDT | Chiba Lotte Marines 1.889 | Rakuten Gold. Eagles 1.931 | 0.54 | Chiba Lotte Marines ML | 1:8 |
Japan NPB 18th Sep 2024, 05:00 EDT | Hanshin Tigers 1.942 | Chunichi Dragons 1.879 | 0.68 | Hanshin Tigers ML | 8:3 |
Japan NPB 18th Sep 2024, 05:00 EDT | Nippon Ham Fighters 1.931 | Fukuoka S. Hawks 1.889 | 0.6 | Fukuoka S. Hawks ML | 3:0 |
Japan NPB 18th Sep 2024, 05:00 EDT | Orix Buffaloes 1.693 | Seibu Lions 2.191 | 0.54 | Seibu Lions ML | 1:3 |