Baseball Predictor & Point Spreads
BASEBALL Predictor
Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Score Prediction First Inning | Score Prediction Final Score | Confidence | Betting predictions Team 1 Win | Betting predictions Team 2 Win | First Inning Result | Final Score |
South Korea KBO | |||||||||
21st Sep 2024, 01:00 EDT | Doosan Bears 2.440 | LG Twins 1.569 | 1:0 | 6:10 | 19.7% | 24.24% | 75.76% | ||
21st Sep 2024, 04:00 EDT | Lotte Giants 2.633 | Hanwha Eagles 1.499 | 2:0 | 2:9 | 59.4% | 18.18% | 81.82% | ||
21st Sep 2024, 04:00 EDT | SSG Landers | KT Wiz Suwon | Unlock |
Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor:
Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Score Prediction | Total | Bookmaker Total | Final Score | Value Bet |
South Korea KBO 21st Sep 2024, 01:00 EDT | Doosan Bears 2.440 | LG Twins 1.569 | 6:10 | 16 | 9.50 | 0:6 | Bet over 9.50 |
South Korea KBO 21st Sep 2024, 04:00 EDT | Lotte Giants 2.633 | Hanwha Eagles 1.499 | 2:9 | 11 | 9.50 | Bet over 9.50 |
Value bets for today based on Scores Predictor and Kelly Criterion:
The Kelly Criterion is a bet-sizing technique which balances both risk and reward for the advantage gambler. It determines the optimal % of your total capital (ie bankroll) that you can bet on a single outcome or game. Here is the formula for the Kelly Criterion copied from Wikipedia:
Where:
- f* is the fraction of the current bankroll to wager;
- b is the net odds received on the wager (“b to 1”); that is, you could win $b (plus the $1 wagered) for a $1 bet
- p is the probability of winning;
- q is the probability of losing, which is 1 − p.
As an example, if a gamble has a 60% chance of winning (p = 0.60, q = 0.40), and the gambler receives 1-to-1 odds on a winning bet (b = 1), then the gambler should bet 20% of his bankroll at each opportunity (f* = 0.20), in order to maximize the long-run growth rate of the bankroll.
If the gambler has zero edge, i.e. if b = q / p, then the criterion recommends the gambler bets nothing.
If the edge is negative (b < q / p) the formula gives a negative result, indicating that the gambler should take the other side of the bet.
Date | Team 1 | Team 2 | Optimal Stake Part | Bet On | Final Score |
South Korea KBO 21st Sep 2024, 01:00 EDT | Doosan Bears 2.440 | LG Twins 1.569 | 0.33 | LG Twins ML | 0:6 |
South Korea KBO 21st Sep 2024, 04:00 EDT | Lotte Giants 2.633 | Hanwha Eagles 1.499 | 0.45 | Hanwha Eagles ML |